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Market Wrap: Stocks Rally on Possible Stimulus but Bitcoin Is Flat at $9.5K



Stocks are up on fresh government stimulus expectations but when it comes to bitcoin, things are uncertainty in the near term.

Bitcoin (BTC) was trading around $9,500 as of 20:00 UTC (4 p.m. ET), gaining less than a percent over the previous 24 hours. 

At 00:00 UTC on Tuesday (8:00 p.m. Monday ET), bitcoin was changing hands around $9,414 on spot exchanges such as Coinbase. It then climbed 2% to as high as $9,591 before sell volumes pushed bitcoin back down. The price is now above the 50-day moving averages but below the 10-day moving average. For technicians, this signals prices are expected to move sideways for a bit. 

Bitcoin trading on Coinbase since June 14

Source: TradingView

Stocks were the real movers on Tuesday. The possibility of another fresh fiscal stimulus proposal in the United States, to the tune of $1 trillion for infrastructure projects like wireless networks and roads, helped fuel an equities rally. The U.S. S&P 500 index gained 1.9%. Since the start of June, bitcoin has underperformed the equities markets. 

Read More: Bitcoin Rises to $9.6K as Stocks Cheer Additional US Stimulus Plans

In Asia, the Nikkei 225 index of publicly traded companies in Japan ended trading up 4.8%, buoyant on stocks in the industrial and transportation sectors. In Europe, the FTSE 100 index closed in the green 2.9% as stocks in the travel sector surged. 

Bitcoin (orange), S&P 500 (blue), Nikkei 225 (red), FTSE 1000 (green) since June 1

Source: TradingView

A dip in bitcoin spot volumes

Traders in the crypto sector continue to talk about “weakness” in the market as spot exchanges like Coinbase see a dip in volume. “Our prop [proprietary trading] desk is seeing a significantly weaker flow in bitcoin pairs on centralized exchanges lately,” said Peter Chan, a trader at Hong Kong-based OneBit Quant.

Spot bitcoin volumes on Coinbase the past six months

Source: Skew

Over the past six months, average volumes on Coinbase have been $133 million. In the past week, the average has been $116 million, a 12% drop, according to data from aggregator Skew. 

“I think there’s a general loss of interest, mostly due to how volatile the external environment has become on the margin,” said Vishal Shah, an options trader and founder of derivatives exchange Alpha5. “The aggregate open interest across derivatives exchanges is now the same as it was at the beginning of June and implied volatility is hitting cyclical lows.”

Read More: Bitcoin Mining Difficulty Makes Biggest Jump in 29 Months

Indeed, after total bitcoin futures open interest on the 11 biggest exchanges spiked to almost $4 billion June 1, it has hovered around $3.5 billion for most of the month. 

Bitcoin futures open interest the past month

Source: Skew

Sell pressure on bitcoin is expected to continue in this lower-volume environment, according to Neil Van Huis, director of sales and institutional trading at liquidity provider Blockfills.

“The whole sector is really sitting watching mining, in my opinion,” Van Huis told CoinDesk Tuesday. “Miners may need to sell a bit to raise cash for new machines, unless they can secure financing from firms like ours – and we are not financing anyone in China.”

Monthly share of total hashrate from ViaBTC, Poolin and BTC.com

Source: Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance

China dominates the bitcoin mining market with 65% of machines located there, according to data from the Cambridge Centre for Alternative Finance. 

Other markets

Digital assets on CoinDesk’s big board are mostly in the green Tuesday. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, ether (ETH), is trading around $233 and climbed less than a percent in 24 hours as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET). 

Read More: Ethereum Logged Its Busiest Week on Record

The decentralized exchange (DEX) Curve has taken over Uniswap for the top spot in terms of 24 hour volume on the Ethereum network. In the past day, Curve had over $21 million in volume compared to Uniswap’s $11 million, giving it over 40% of the DEX trading market. 

Decentralized exchange volume the past 24 hours

Source: Dune Analytics

The biggest cryptocurrency winners on the day include lisk (LSK) climbing 2.4%, qtum (QTUM) up 2.1% and stellar (XLM) in the green 1.6%. The biggest loser on the day was iota (IOTA) in the red 1%. All price changes were as of 20:00 UTC (4:00 p.m. ET).

Read More: Coda Protocol Sets Aside $2.1M in Tokens for Development Grants

In commodities, oil is gaining 2.9% as a barrel of crude was priced at $38 as of press time. 

Contracts-for-difference on oil since June 12

Source: TradingView

Gold is trading flat as the yellow metal climbed less than a percent, trading around $1,726 for the day. 

Read More: Negative Rates or More Money Printing – Bitcoin May Benefit Either Way

U.S. Treasury bonds all climbed Tuesday. Yields, which move in the opposite direction as price, were up most on the 30-year, in the green 4.8%.


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